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US Bond Market Week in Review: A More Nuanced Understanding of the Declining Labor Force Participation Rate

By: HaleStewart

The Federal Reserve is subject to a dual mandate: price stability and maximum employment. Although the unemployment rate is the most commonly reported labor market statistic, since the end of the great recession analysts have correctly observed there are several other methods of measuring the labor market’s health. Read more

International Economic Week in Review: The Trend of Positive Global News Continues

By: HaleStewart

Starting in the 4Q16, survey data released by Markit saw a pronounced improvement in sentiment. This was accompanied by the UK’s surprising post-Brexit growth, Canada’s continued exit from its shallow recession, stronger 4Q16 Chinese numbers and nuanced but noticeable improvement in numbers from Japan. Read more

US Equity and Economic Review: The Trump Trade is Over

By: HaleStewart

On Thursday, the Conference Board released the latest leading and coincident economic indicators. There are 2 reasons there are some of my favorite statistics. First, they organize 14 economic indicators in an easy-to-understand format. Second, they have a long history of accurately predicting the overall pace of growth. Read more

Weekly Indicators: purchase mortgage applications turn negative edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

March data included an increase in building permits, which helped lift the Index of Leading Indicators to a strong positive reading. Starts, however, declined. Industrial production and capacity utilization were up, although the manufacturing element of production had its first decline in six months. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Apr 21, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

FX trade was quite in N.Y. on Friday, though the dollar was generally higher, leaving the DXY trading on either side of 100, its best levels since Monday. EUR-USD bottomed at 1.0686 after topping at 1.0911 early in the session. USD-JPY meanwhile, perked up to 109.32 from lows of 108.89. Read more

XE Market Analysis: The Pound's Volatility - Now & Looking Forward

By: xemarketanalysis

The big story of the week has been the British Pound’s tumultuous rally against the mighty Greenback. After news that UK PM Theresa May had called for a snap election investors became more hopeful the PM would secure the UK’s exit from the EU while pushing back some of the trade related deadlines that had previously been of concern. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Eurozone Growth Accelerates

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW Markets are relatively stable heading into the first round of the French presidential election with the latest polls showing a slight dip in Marine Le Pen's popularity. UK data showed a jump in inflation due to the Pound's fall since Brexit is putting more pressure on consumers as retail sales fell 1.8% in March. Bank of England member Michael Saunders hinted that he could vote for a rate hike, saying he expected growth and inflation this year to be higher than the forecast in February. Canadian inflation cooled more than expected in March with annual CPI falling to 1.6% from the previous month's 2%. HIGHLIGHT The Eurozone economy appears to be building on the momentum of the first quarter with the flash estimate PMIs for April showing business activity rise to a fresh 6-year high. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Apr 21, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The euro has come under moderate pressure, despite forecast-beating Eurozone PMI figures in preliminary April readings, and a rise in the Eurozone current account surplus. EUR-USD has dipped to the 1.0700 area, putting in some distance from yesterday's three-week high at 1.0737. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Apr 21, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar majors have been plying narrow ranges with the risk-off trade taking a breather but positional commitment remaining low into France's election on Sunday. EUR-USD has settled in a narrow range just below yesterday's three-week high at 1.0737, and USD-JPY has settled in the upper 108s. Read more


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