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Weekly Indicators: a more positive tone edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

February data included a decline in monthly housing permits and starts, and also retail sales. Industrial production and capacity utilization grew strongly. Consumer and producer prices increased at a rate slightly above normal. Consumer sentiment as measured by the University of Michigan rose sharply. The JOLTS report for January was mixed, with increased openings and hires, but a decline in quits, and increases in layoffs and total separations. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy, and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Mar 16, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar bounced into the weekend, taking the DXY to highs of 90.38, levels last seen on March 1. U.S. data was supportive, as U. of Michigan sentiment came in stronger, along with better industrial production figures. EUR-USD dipped to two-week lows of 1.2260 from 1.2330 highs, while USD-JPY recovered to 106.23 highs from 105.60. Read more

XE Market Analysis: World Economy Threatened by Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW US Dollar retreats as Trump replaces national security advisor. Sterling holds ground on optimistic Brexit talks tone. Canadian Dollar will be glad to see the end of this week. The Euro vulnerable as steel and aluminum tariffs worry investors. HIGHLIGHT The steel and aluminum tariffs due to take effect next Friday continue to be the main point of focus in the world markets. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Mar 16, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The yen has maintained a firming bias amid a mixture of geopolitical news and fresh drama at the White House in the U.S.. USD-JPY dipped back under 106.00, while EUR-JPY and other yen cross have also been trading with a heavy tone. News that Trump has removed his national security advisor, H.R. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Mar 15, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has traded mixed to far today, losing ground to the yen but moderately gaining versus most of the other main currencies, including the euro, sterling and Australian dollar. The biggest loser was the Kiwi dollar following an underwhelming GDP figure out of New Zealand, with the antipodean currency showing a decline of 0.3% heading into the London interbank open, although off its lows. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Mar 14, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar advance modestly in N.Y. morning trade on Wednesday, before giving back gains after the London close. Following softer retail sales and slightly warmer PPI outcomes, the dollar index moved from 89.63 to 89.88 highs. The index later fell back under 89.70. Read more

XE Marketing Analysis: US Retail Sales Fall Again

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW Risk sentiment weakens as Trump talks about tariffs on Chinese made goods, and NATO members back the UK against Russia. Japanese Yen rising in risk-off trade and stocks erase gains. The Euro relatively stable despite dovish comments from Mario Draghi. GBP under pressure after Russia says they will retaliate. Chinese data shows economy picking up speed in February. HIGHLIGHT US retail sales fell 0.1% last month, declining for a third straight month and pointing to a slowdown in economic growth at the start of the year. Read more

On the deceleration of real M1 and M2

By: New_Deal_democrat

As we now have the data for consumer prices in February, this is a good time to look at real money supply, both M1 and M2. As readers of my "Weekly Indicators" columns now, I have voiced increasing concern over the deceleration in both of these series for close to a year. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Mar 14, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has traded mixed so far today, weakening to a four-session low versus the euro before rebounding, maintaining a heavy tone against the yen, and posting fresh lows versus a number of Asian currencies and the South African rand. A risk-off theme prevailed Asia, before U.S equity index futures turned moderately higher and European equity markets rebounded from early weakness. Read more


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