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International Economic Week in Review: Data Points To Continued Weak Growth, Not Recession, Edition

By: HaleStewart

The market sell-off that started at the beginning of the year has led to increased talk of recession. But the underlying data of most major economies does not point to that potential outcome (at least, not yet). The EU continues to grow slowly, as does the UK. Read more

US Equity and Economic Review: The Data Points To A Slowdown, Not A Recession, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Recent market and statistical weakness has led to increased discussion of a possible US recession. In this column, I will argue that instead of a recession, we’re facing a situation similar to the mid-1980s, where the economy also experienced slowdown caused by high oil prices, a strong dollar slowdown and weak oil sector. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: Treasuries Continue to Rally, Edition

By: HaleStewart

     Chairperson Yellen gave her bi-annual Congressional testimony this week, which contained the following two key paragraphs: Read more

Weekly Indicators: the "less worse" trend still continues edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

January 2016 reports included an increase in retails sales, and a big upward revision to December sales. Export and import prices continued to plunge. U. Michigan consumer sentiment declined. December wholesale sales and inventories declined, while retail inventories rose slightly. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Feb 12, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar clawed back some of its losses in N.Y. on Friday, and was helped early on by better than expected retail sales data. Consumer sentiment missed the mark slightly, which offset some, though as oil prices soared, and Wall Street advanced sharply, the greenback largely held its own. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Feb 12, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The yen's seeming one-way ascent has come to a pause, partly amid the perceived threat of BoJ intervention and partly as risk-off positioning unwound some today. Brent crude rallied over 4% and more than recouped yesterday's declines, while European equities managed a rebound. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Feb 12, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

Currencies have consolidated today within respective ranges seen on Thursday. Japanese markets returned from yesterday's holiday and stocks duly plummeted, leaving the Nikkei 225 down to the tune of 4.8% at the close, a 16-month low in what is now one of the worse weekly performances on record, in reaction to the mega appreciation of the yen, which is amid its biggest rally since 2008. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Feb 11, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar remained under some pressure in N.Y. trade on Thursday, as risk-off conditions prevailed, and yields remained under pressure. Yellen's testimony to the Senate Banking Committee didn't drop any bombs, but the mere mention of NIRP from the Fed, as unlikely as that may be, appeared to have weighed on the greenback. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Feb 11, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

Risk-off coursed through global markets, propelling the yen upward and the commodity currencies downward. This put the dollar on a mixed footing. EUR-USD rose to a new four-month high of 1.1354 even as GBP-USD declined. The SEK came under singular pressure after the Riksbank slashed its repo rate to -0.5% from -0.35%. Read more

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