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International Economic Week in Review: More Expansion Coming

By: HaleStewart

It’s been a difficult few years for trade deals. First came Brexit, which was a surprising rebuke to the EU, and then came Trump’s election, which was partially based on a rejection of most U.S. trade deals. However, the negative impact of trade deals has been overblown. Read more

US Equity and Economic Review: The Fundamentals Support Current Market Valuations

By: HaleStewart

There are numerous factors that support the stock market: psychology, the overall size of the population, the national and international political environment and domestic policy, just to name a few. But perhaps the economic fundamentals are the most important. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: Yes, a Downside Does Exist

By: HaleStewart

Several Fed governors spoke this week. President Harker wouldn’t take rate hikes off the table. President Powell agreed. But doves still exist. Fed President Williams, whose comments were based on recent SF Fed research, argued low rates would be with us for some time. Read more

Weekly Indicators: short leading indicators surge further, but one more long leading indicator close to neutral

By: New_Deal_democrat

University of Michigan sentiment for February declined slightly, on the back of a significant decline as to expectations for the future. January existing home sales increased to a near 10 year high. New home sales also increased, but remained significantly below their post recession high from half a year ago. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy, and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Feb 24, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar rallied across the board in early morning trade, seemingly led by a sell-off in cable and EUR-USD. The former dropped to intra day lows of 1.2483, coming from 1.2565 into the open, while the latter fell from 1.0617 to 1.0566. There was no specific news linked to the move, though a one-off cable sell order was rumored. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Japanese Yen Rises as Market Sentiment Sours

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW Stock markets are down over one percentage point across Europe, and the Japanese Yen is higher, as investors question the ability of Donald Trump's administration to significantly boost economic growth. Canadian inflation jumped more than expected in January, due largely to a 20% rise in gasoline prices. U.S. Read more

The housing market: awaiting the turn from interest rates

By: New_Deal_democrat

With new home sales reported this morning, we have a good picture of the housing market through January. To refresh on a couple of points, the general order in which the housing market trends is: 1. interest rates turn 2. next, sales turn 3. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Feb 24, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar lost ground to the euro and more especially the yen, which was bid amid a safe haven play in global markets, though the greenback poste gains versus some currencies, including the Australian dollar and, to a lesser extent, the pound. Data and other fresh leads were thin today. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Feb 24, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has been in consolidation during the Asian session. USD-JPY has settled in the upper 112s, consolidating above yesterday's two-week low at 112.55. The yen has traded weaker today after rallying on a safe-haven bid yesterday following the comments from new U.S. Read more


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