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Marking my 2017 forecast to market

By: New_Deal_democrat

It's the end of the year and so in this, my last post of the year (except for Weekly Indicators), let's take a look back at the forecast for 2017 I made one year ago, and mark it to market. My forecast, as usual, came in two parts: first, using the K.I.S.S. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar posted fresh lows versus a number of currencies. The outperformers were commodity currencies. EUR-USD clocked a one-month high at 1.1946 before settling around 1.1930. USD-JPY saw a six-session low at 112.66 before recouping toward the 113.00 level. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has continued on a softening track, concomitantly with the sharp drop in Treasury yields. This drove EUR-USD to a four-week high of 1.1935 and USD-JPY to a six-session low of 112.66. The dollar has also posted two-week lows versus the pound and two-month lows against both the Australian and Canadian dollars. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 27, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

FX trade was sleepy in N.Y. on Wednesday, with activity drying up into year-end. The dollar was mixed, losing marginal ground to the euro and pound, while making modest inroads against the yen and CAD. Slow trade can be expected to continue until 2018 kicks off next week.[EUR, USD]EUR-USD pulled back from near one-month highs of 1.1910, bottoming at 1.1886 into the London close. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 27, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has been trading with a soft tilt, with USD-JPY edging out a four-session low at 113.12, EUR-USD a four-session high at 1.1889, and USD-CAD making three-week low and AUD-USD a two-month high, at 0.7773, with the Aussie buoyed by a strong rally in copper prices. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 27, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has been trading with a soft tilt, with USD-JPY edging out a four-session low at 113.12, EUR-USD a four-session high at 1.1884, and USD-CAD making three-week low and AUD-USD a two-month high, at 0.7750. This has come despite robust producer sentient data yesterday out of the U.S., along with the expected fiscal stimulus to come after the passing of the U.S. Read more

US Economic Week in Review: The Economy Ends the Year on a Strong Note

By: HaleStewart

The BEA released their last GDP estimate of the US economy earlier this week. The report showed that the economy is doing very well. On a Y/Y basis, topline growth was 2.3%, which continues the quarterly increase in this number. Individual components were also very strong. Read more

US Bond Market Year in Review: A Narrowing Curve, No Stress and No Inflation

By: HaleStewart

It’s been a very busy year in the bond market. The treasury spread – which no one has discussed since the end of the recession – jumped back into the headlines as the 10-2 differential broke 100 basis points; other spreads came in to varying degrees. Read more

Weekly Indicators: spreads fall to 10 year low edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

November housing data was all strongly positive, including permits, starts, and new and existing home sales. Partly as a result of that, the Index of Leading Indicators increased. Personal income and spending were up, but at the expense of a decline in the savings rate. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 22, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

Narrow ranges have prevailed so far today, which will more than likely remain the case with market participants non-committal so close to the holiday period and year-end. USD-JPY has settled around the 113.25-25 mark after yesterday clocking a 10-day high of 110.63. Read more

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