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The dollar firmed into the N.Y. open, and continued marginally higher overall through the morning session. Hotter PPI and a stronger Empire State index helped sentiment, and risk appetite ramped up again on Wednesday, taking equities sharply higher, while supporting Treasury yields. Read more
The USD extended yesterday's gains. USD-JPY logged a four-day peak of 104.47 during Tokyo trade, subsequently consolidating moderately lower during the European AM session. EUR-USD fell to a low of 1.3608 in London, a loss of almost 70 pips from yesterday's New York closing level and coming within about 30 pips of last Friday's pre-payrolls report low. Read more
The JPY and AUD were the joint underperformers in a strong USD environment, which has remained firm since yesterday's firm U.S. ex-autos retail sales and solid inventory report sparked upward revisions to Q4 GDP. U.S. Treasury yields drifted higher, and Fed hawks Plosser and Fisher continued to argue that without a swift elimination of QE, inflation risks would rise again. Read more
FX trade was fairly quiet in N.Y. on Tuesday, with the greenback mixed overall. The greenback lost modest ground to the European majors, while gaining against the yen and dollar bloc. U.S. economic data was better, with ex-auto retail sales beating forecasts, and import prices very tame. Read more
Above is a daily chart of the USD/JPY chart. After a run from ~97 to ~ 105 (a gain of a little over 8%), the pair has fallen back to the 200 day EMA, which is also supported by the candle tops from early May of last year. The first obvious reason for the drop is a simple profit taking. Read more
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EUR-USD broke above its post-payrolls high and logged a 12-day peak of 1.3699 before settling around 1.3670-80 after some whippy price action. The pop higher was sparked by an optimistic prognosis of the Eurozone economy by ECB's Nowotny. We subsequently had a forecast-beating 1.8% m/m gain in Eurozone industrial production that sent the y/y rate to 3.0%, the highest since August 2011, though this didn't seem to have a great bearing on the euro. Read more
I've written a fair amount recently about the impact of rising interest rates. For example, they are certainly negatively impacting house sales and consumer refinancing. But what about stock prices? How they correlate with stock prices depends entirely upon whether the primary worry is inflation or deflation. When the primary worry is inflation, interest rates generally move in the opposite direction as stock prices. Read more
USD-JPY made a fresh low during the NY afternoon session of 102.85 and subsequently rebounded during the Asian session to 103.52 before settling. Hefty stock market losses in Asia curtailed yen weakness. Data showed that Japan's current-account deficit widened to a record in November on the back of higher imports. Read more
The dollar was mostly firmer versus the European majors in N.Y. trade on Monday, though it lost ground to the yen and the CAD. EUR-USD touched 1.2638 lows early in the session, though later rebounded over 1.3660 as equities faltered. USD-JPY traded briefly under 103.00 as risk appetite pulled back, and as Treasury yields dipps\ed a bit lower. Read more
EUR-USD traded modestly lower in quiet trade, making a low of 1.3656 before settling, while the yen extended its post U.S. jobs report advance during Tokyo-less trade in Asia. Encouraging Italian industrial production elicited failed to elicit much market response today. Read more
, the pair has fallen back to the 200 day EMA, which is also supported by the candle tops from early May of last year.
The first obvious reason for the drop is a simple profit taking.&p[images][0]=http://xecommunityassets.s3.amazonaws.com/USDJPY(Daily)20140114070104.png){kind=link}
