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XE Market Analysis: North America - Nov 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar lifted moderately in cautious trading as key data releases from the major economies loom on the near-horizon and with uncertainties prevailing with regard to the scope of Fed tightening ahead and U.S. fiscal policy. USD-JPY recovered from the two-month low seen late yesterday at 110.83, which followed a bout of safe haven demand for the yen on reports that North Korea was prepping another test of a ICBM. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Nov 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has lifted moderately in cautious trading as key data releases from the major economies loom on the near-horizon and with uncertainties prevailing with regard to the scope of Fed tightening ahead and U.S. fiscal policy, and on the political front in Germany and Catalonia, along with the risk for the Irish border to become a major sticking point in the Brexit negotiation. Read more

XE Market Analysis: US Dollar Remains Soft

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW USD slipped to 2-month low, with recovers on new home sales. The Euro hits a 2-month high on hopes for a German 'grand coalition'. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Nov 27, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mostly firmer in N.Y. trade on Monday, supported by better housing data, and hopes for a U.S. tax reform package, as the Sentate pushes to pass its version this week. EUR-USD eased back to 1.1898 lows after printing new 2-month highs of 1.1961 early in the session. Read more

International Economic Week in Review: Global Growth Continues

By: HaleStewart

Good news continues. The ECB’s latest analysis of the EU economy shows a region with an accelerating expansion. Australia is growing as well. Although the latest GDP revision pointed toward a solid expansion, the Treasury department issued a sharp downgrade for future growth. Read more

US Economic Week in Review: The Autopilot Economy Continues to Move Forward

By: HaleStewart

We continue to see healthy numbers from the economy. While the LEIs increased smartly this month, we’ll more than likely see a slower but positive number next month. The Census Bureau continues to report durable goods orders in the $220-$240 million/month range, indicating a steady demand. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: Is the Fed's Inflation Thinking Finally Changing?

By: HaleStewart

This expansion has been difficult for the Fed due to its dual mandate. The jobs market is near full employment, save for the weaker utilization numbers, which fulfills half of the Fed's dual mandate Prices are a different story. For the last few years, economic commentators have noted the dichotomy between the Fed’s rosy inflation predictions – which continually project PCE inflation at 2% in the intermediate term – and the underlying trend, which has been weaker than the central bank’s projections. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: Is the Fed's Inflation Thinking Finally Changing?

By: HaleStewart

This expansion has been difficult for the Fed due to its dual mandate. The jobs market is near full employment, save for the weaker utilization numbers, which fulfills half of the Fed's dual mandate Prices are a different story. For the last few years, economic commentators have noted the dichotomy between the Fed’s rosy inflation predictions – which continually project PCE inflation at 2% in the intermediate term – and the underlying trend, which has been weaker than the central bank’s projections. Read more

Weekly Indicators: it's all about bond yields edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

The sparse October data in this short week included a big jump in leading indicators (heavily influenced by a bounce back in hurricane-related data, an increase in existing home sales, a decline in total durable goods, but an increase in core durable goods, and a decline in both the present and future outlook in the University of Michigan sentiment index. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy, and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Nov 24, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

FX trade was relatively quiet in N.Y. on Fridahy, with many traders remaining on holiday following Thursday's Thanksgiving Day. The greenback was mostly lower however, pushing the DXY to a two-month base of 92.68. EUR-USD vaulted to 1.1944 highs, while cable touched seven-week highs of 1.2259. Read more

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