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US Bond Market Week in Review: A Look At the Dissenter's Arguments

By: HaleStewart

At the last Fed meeting, a majority of Federal Reserve governors voted to raise rates\. Citing the combination of a strong labor market and the expectation that inflation would return to 2% in the intermediate future, a majority of the board voted to raise rates an additional .25%. Read more

International Economic Week in Review: 2017 Ends on a High Note

By: HaleStewart

This was a good year for the global economy. The EU, which has suffered from two potential economic crisis in the last seven years, had one year of consistently good economic data. The UK has yet to experience severe negative post-Brexit developments (although weak construction spending may develop into a broader problem in 2018). Read more

Weekly Indicators: a powerful end to 2017 edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

November data was sparse in this last week of the year, but included acceleration in rising house prices, a very strong Chicago PMI, including a red hot new orders subindex, and a bifurcation in consumer confidence, with an overall slight decline divided into rising confidence about the present, with a one year low in future expectations. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

FX trade was thin and choppy on the last trading day of the year, though the greenback remained in sell-mode into 2018. EUR-USD topped at new three-month highs of 1.2013, up from 1.1983 lows, while USD-JPY traded near 112.50 before pooping to 112.67 highs into the London close. Read more

2018 Is Looking Like Another Solid Economic Year

By: HaleStewart

Looking forward to 2018, it appears the U.S. economy will continue on its path of modest to moderate growth. Two long-leading indicators – corporate profits and the BBB corporate bond yield – are signaling continued growth. Building permits – which, depending on who you ask, are either a long-leading or leading indicator – point towards continued growth. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) ebbed to a three-month low of 92.42. This is the culmination of a near 1% decline this week, and a 8.5% decline on the year-to-date, with the dollar ranking as the weakness of the main currencies we track. This is despite the Fed having hiked rates three times, and reflects in part the fact that the U.S. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has maintained a soft bias so far on the last day of trading for 2017. EUR-USD remained buoyant after logging a one-month high at 1.1959 yesterday, while USD-JPY eked out a seven-session low of 112.63. The greenback also logged fresh two-month highs versus the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars, and a three-week peak in the cast against the pound. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was broadly weaker in N.Y. trade on Thursday, with year-end flows weighing. This said, trading ranges were narrow, and volumes light. A wider than expected advance goods trade deficit, higher than forecast jobless claims print and a better Chicago PMI outcome had little impact. Read more

Marking my 2017 forecast to market

By: New_Deal_democrat

It's the end of the year and so in this, my last post of the year (except for Weekly Indicators), let's take a look back at the forecast for 2017 I made one year ago, and mark it to market. My forecast, as usual, came in two parts: first, using the K.I.S.S. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar posted fresh lows versus a number of currencies. The outperformers were commodity currencies. EUR-USD clocked a one-month high at 1.1946 before settling around 1.1930. USD-JPY saw a six-session low at 112.66 before recouping toward the 113.00 level. Read more

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