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The dollar meandered inside of narrow ranges through the N.Y. session on Monday, and may have set the tone for what could very well be a quiet, holiday shortened week. Aside from the Chicago and Dallas Fed indices, which were shrugged off, there was no U.S. Read more
The dollar was generally firm, though lost ground to the euro following an unexpected rise in the November German Ifo sentiment survey. EUR-USD recovered from an Asia-session dip to 1.2362, leaving the Nov-6 trend low at 1.2358 unchallenged, and extended gains to a peak of 1.2414 following the Ifo report. Read more
The dollar majors have generally seen narrow ranges in early week trade in low-liquidity conditions in the absence of Japanese markets, which were closed due to a public holiday. EUR-USD did, however, dip to a low of 1.2362 before recovering toward the 1.2400 level, near net-unchanged from Friday's closing level. Read more
The following economic news releases will have a disproportionate impact on the markets next week. Monday Read more
The economic news this week included a sharp rise in the October leading indicators. This forecasts strong growth in the second quarter of next year. Housing permits made a new post-recession high, although the more volatile housing starts came in a little soft. Read more
The dollar firmed up versus the European major currencies, though was soft against the dollar bloc and the yen in the wake of China's surprise rate cut and ECBspeak signaling improved odds for QE. There was no data on Friday, and while Wall Street was higher, it traded well off its best levels as the session progressed. Read more
On the surface, disinflation looks like a great idea. After all, who wouldn’t like absolute price stability or the possibility of a slight decline in prices? It sounds like economic nirvana. However, some level of overall inflation is in fact a good thing because it indicates there is a sufficient level of demand to drive up prices. Read more
Two key develops drove the EUR lower and sent the AUD and other commodity-correlating commodity bloc currencies higher. One was a shock interest rate cut by the PBoC, which drove stock and commodity prices higher and saw AUD-USD spike nearly 100 pips to a three-day high at 0.8722. Read more
USD-JPY has seen volatile trade that left a high at 118.36 and a low at 117.35 before settling around 117.80. Japan's Finance Minister Aso said that yen weakening over the past week as "too rapid,," which prompted a round of yet buying. Aso said we was against "rapid FX moves" whether up or down, which are unwelcome, as forex rates should be determined by the market. Read more
The dollar traded mostly sideways in light dealings in N.Y. on Thursday, as modest gains on Wall Street and marginally firmer yields did little to help the greenback. Firmer core CPI data initially resulted in some USD buying, though gains were mostly unwound through the morning. Read more
