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XE Market Analysis: Asia - Oct 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar remained on a weak footing during quiet dealings on Monday, posting fresh trend losses against the euro, Aussie and Kiwi dollars, and drifting lower against the yen. The move was a carry-on of selling seen in the wake of last week's release of the FOMC minutes, which have seen the odds for a Fed rate lift-off by year-end lengthen. Read more

Corporate profits as a leading indicator for quarterly stock averages, Q3 2015 update

By: New_Deal_democrat

This is an update as to a relationship I have written about a number of times already. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Oct 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar started the new week where it left of the last, with a weakening bias. EUR-USD edged out a new three-week high just shy of 1.1400, continuing the rally that began with the dovish-leaving FOMC minutes of last Thursday. The AUD and NZD, meanwhile, outperformed as Chinese stock markets rallied strongly after PBoC deputy governor Yi said from weekend IMF meetings that the stock correction is "almost over." USD-JPY remained mired in a narrow range in the low 120.00s, with remarks from BoJ's Kuroda casting little impact. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Oct 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

Narrow ranges have prevailed in early-week trading, with volume and impetus flagging with Japan out today, and U.S. and Canada also due to be closed for public holidays. Despite this, risk-on remained the dominant theme, reflected by commodity prices gains (copper up over 0.5%, oil prices by around 1%) and mostly-higher stock markets in Asia, led by continued gains in China (Shanghai Composite was showing a 3.3% gain in late PM session). Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: When Doves Cry, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. Read more

US Equity and Economic Review: Will the Rebound Last, Edition?

By: HaleStewart

Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. Read more

International Economic Week in Review: Now the IMF Lowers Growth Projections, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. Read more

Weekly Indicators: US economy slips a small notch weaker edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

Monthly data for September this week, revealing deflation in both import and export prices. The ISM services index remained very positive. Wholesale sales fell slightly; inventory increased slightly. Thus the inventory to sales ratio rose slightly. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Oct 09, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mixed in N.Y. trade on Friday, and the FX market had a decidedly lethargic feel to is, following a fairly volatile week. Other than import/export price data, which had little impact on markets, there was little in the way of news to move currencies. Read more

Inventory to sales ratio shows shallow industrial recession not abating

By: New_Deal_democrat

The other day I wrote that the data point to watch this week was the inventory to sales ratio for wholesalers. This morning's report (for August, this series is reported with a significant delay) was somewhat bearish. Sales fell by -1.0%, while inventories rose by +0.1%. Read more

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