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US Equity and Economic Review For the Week of June 8-12; Yes, the Rally Is Getting Long In the Tooth, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. Read more

Weekly Indicators: amplification of recent trends edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

Monthly data for May included strongly positive retail sales and producer prices, and positive University of Michigan consumer sentiment. Export prices rose. Import prices were flat. The JOLTS report for April showed strongly positive job openings, but relatively weak quits, layoffs, and hires. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jun 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded broadly lower in N.Y. on Friday, despite a slightly warmer PPI headline, and a better U. of Michigan sentiment outcome. Yields eases some, and Wall Street tumbled again, weighing generally on dollar sentiment. After trading into 1.1150 in London, EUR-USD managed highs of 1.1296 into the N.Y. Read more

International Economic Review For the Week of June 8-12; Much Better, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. Read more

Updating 2 midcycle consumer spending indicators

By: New_Deal_democrat

Ultimately I would like to have a set of indicators to describe an entire business cycle: long leading, short leading, coincident, short lagging, long lagging, and mid-cycle. A mid-cycle indicator is one that turns roughly in the middle of an economic expansion. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Jun 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded generally firmer. EUR-USD dove after Germany's Merkel said that the strong euro makes reforms harder in some peripheral Eurozone countries, while a notably hardening line from Greece's creditors and a poll finding 51% of Germans favour Greece leaving the euro were also in the news mix. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Jun 12, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

EUR-USD has settled in the 1.12s, holding roughly around the mid-way mark of the range that's been seen over the last 10 days. A Bild article today reporting that Germany is preparing for a Greek state bankruptcy scenario saw the euro dip in Asia to the low at 1.1221. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jun 11, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

FX action was very subdued in N.Y. trade on Thursday, with the dollar putting in brief gyrations after in-line retail sales and jobless claims data, before settling inside of very narrow trading ranges. News that the IMF pulled its Greece negotiations team out of Brussels had surprisingly little impact on the euro, though with the Greek car-wreck seemingly never ending, the FX market may be getting tired of trading Greek headlines. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Jun 11, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The NZD dove to five-year lows against the USD following an unexpected RBNZ rate cut, while EUR-USD drifted back under 1.1300 and USD-JPY recovered some of the lost ground seen during yesterday's sharp decline. EUR-USD ebbed to a two-day low at 1.1240 having failed to sustain gains above 1.1300 after a three-day run higher peaked yesterday at 1.1374. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Jun 11, 2015

By: XE Market Analysis

The NZD dove to five-year lows against the USD following an unexpected RBNZ rate cut, while EUR-USD steadied around 1.1300 and USD-JPY recovered some of the lost ground seen during yesterday's sharp decline. EUR-USD settled to a relatively narrow oscillation around the 1.1300 level after a three-day run high peaked yesterday at 1.1374. Read more

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