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Revisiting the Double Top For the EUR/USD Thesis

By: HaleStewart

Last week, I wrote an article tiled, Double Top for the EUR/USD? In it, I advanced the thesis that a convergence between technical factors (which tell us when to buy) and fundamental factors (which tell us what direction to trade a currency pair) had occurred. Read more

12 important economic trends of 2013

By: New_Deal_democrat

With only one day left, let's take a look back at the important economic trends of 2013. If there was a theme, it was a year of muddling along, positive but still disappointingly subpar. In particular, there were notable changes in energy, housing, and interest rates. Here are 12 important economic stories of 2013, starting with five positives: 1. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 30, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

FX trade was uneventful in N.Y. on Monday, as the year wound down, and as desks stayed out of harms way. Conditions were thin, and the dollar did ease lower fairly broadly. EUR-USD reclaimed the 1.3800 handle, as USD-JPY faded, but found support into 105.00. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 30, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

The main currencies chopped around in thin conditions. The yen made a fresh trend high for a fourth consecutive trading day, at 105.41. There were reports of Japanese exporters on the offer, which helped cap the dollar ahead of the 105.50 level, and the pair subsequently sank to a low of 105.12 during the London morning. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 30, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

The yen made a fresh trend high for a fourth consecutive trading day, this time to 105.41, during the last business day of the year in Tokyo. There were reports of Japanese exporters on the offer, which helped cap the dollar ahead of the 105.50 level. Read more

Weekly Indicators: still positive, but more softness as year ends edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

November monthly data reported this past week included personal income and spending, both up, although spending was up more, durable goods orders, up strongly, new home sales, down slightly from its post-recession high last month, and U. Michigan consumer sentiment and outlook, both up. I report on the high frequency weekly indicators because they are an almost simultaneous "nowcast" of the economy, and although they can be noisy, taken together they will show a continuation or turning of a trend before it shows up in the monthly data. Read more

International Week in Review: Holiday Shortened Week Edition

By: HaleStewart

Thanks to the Christmas holiday falling mid-week, we really only have economic data for about three and a half days. Let’s start with the news out of Japan. First, CPI increased 1.5% YOY, a further acceleration of this statistics (which increased 1.1% in the previous YOY reading). Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 27, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar rebounded from its overnight losses, unwinding most of the damage done in London. Trade was very thin, and it didn't take much volume to push EUR-USD back under 1.3770, after it peaked over 1.3890 into the N.Y. open. USD-JPY traded over 105.00, though struggled some over thee figure, while USD-CAD moved over 1.0700 on U.S. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 27, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

EUR-USD spiked sharply from the low 1.37s to 15-month highs near 1.3850, having breached the December high of 1.3812 on route. There didn't appear any specific news or data developments behind the move other than reports of an Asian central bank on the bid in EUR-USD, which has had a magnified impact due to the year-end market conditions. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 27, 2013

By: XE Market Analysis

USD-JPY lifted above 105.00 for the first time since 2008, leaving a high of 105.03 before retreating to the 104.70 area following the Tokyo fix. EUR-JPY was a driver during the US-JPY ascent, and the cross also logged a new five-year peak of 144.21, as did GBP-JPY. Read more

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