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XE Market Analysis: North America - May 16, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

EUR-USD was knocked back below 1.3700 after giving a weak rebound in early London trade, which saw the euro stall at 13727, five pips shy of yesterday's peak. Price action remains clearly bearish. Yesterday's three-month low at 1.3648 is back in scope, though interbank and short-term speculative participants will be trending careful due to the risk of a pre-weekend short squeeze following a bearish week. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - May 15, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mostly lower in N.Y. trade on Tuesday, as risk-off trade dominated. A 7-year low in jobless claims, better Philly Fed and N.Y. Fed indices outcomes were offset by a miss in industrial production, hotter core CPI and a weaker NAHB housing market index. Read more

Long leading indicator real sales per capita makes a new high, but with clear deceleration

By: New_Deal_democrat

With the report of April consumer inflation this morning at +0.3%, we now know that April real retail sales declined by -0.2%. This is a true mixed reading. While April declined, the upward revision to March retail sales means that month increased by +1.2% in real terms. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - May 15, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

EUR underperformance and USD outperformance was the main show in town once again. EUR-USD extended to a near three-month low of 1.3756. The euro also fell against other currencies, with EUR-JPY logging a two-month low of 139.10, for instance. The last down-leg in the euro was a delayed reaction to weaker than expected preliminary Eurozone Q1 GDP, which didn't initially prompt an FX reaction having been portended by the unexpected contractions in the earlier released national figures out of Italy and Portugal. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - May 15, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

USD majors posted narrow ranges during pre-Europe Asian trade. EUR-USD flat-lined around 1.3710-20, as it did for most of Wednesday. USD-JPY saw a brief dip to a low of 101.66 following a much stronger than expected initial estimate of Japanese Q1 GDP of 5.9%, though this was evidently driven by a surge of big ticket consumer purchases ahead of the sales tax hike in April. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - May 14, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded sideways through the N.Y. session, with most major dollar pairings mired inside a 25 point trading band. Hotter U.S. PPI gave the greenback a minor boost, though softer yields and equities offset to a degree. EUR-USD held onto the 1.37 handle throughout the session, basing at 1.3705, and peaking at 1.3723. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - May 14, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

GBP took a dive following a disappointing labour market report that was quickly backed-up by the BoE May Inflation Report, which unexpectedly left GDP and CPI projections largely unchanged while signalling that there remains no rush to hike interest rates. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - May 14, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The AUD logged a one-month high versus the USD as the Sydney market returned to the nascent bullish theme with the Federal Budget now out the way (the budget was announcement during the evening the day before, and was generally considered near expectations and less austere than some pundits had warned). Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - May 13, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

N.Y. FX trade on Tuesday saw the dollar mostly higher, despite a retail sales miss, only slightly higher equities, and slightly lower Treasury yields. EUR-USD touched new trend lows of 1.3695, as USD-JPY faltered from recent highs of 102.35, though did manage to hold the 102 handle throughout the session. Read more

Why Austerity Does Not Work

By: HaleStewart

Over the last few posts, I’ve noted that in practical application the policy of austerity has been an abject failure. Every country that has implemented these policies -- which involve large cuts in government spending during a slumping economy in the hopes they would lead to a decrease in government debt – have in fact had the exact opposite effect. Read more

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