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International Economic Week in Review: Another Week of Goods News

By: HaleStewart

Global economic news continues to be largely positive. The Japanese economy is growing although weak inflation is still a problem. News from the EU points to a continent poised for additional growth while the UK has yet to experience the much-predicted post-Brexit recession. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: The Credit Markets Are Showing No Signs of Recession

By: HaleStewart

The credit markets – often an early harbinger of a recession – are in solid shape. Overall, there is little financial stress: The Kansas City Fed’s Financial Stress index (released monthly) is in blue while the St. Louis Fed’s index (released weekly) is in red. Read more

Weekly Indicators: economy resilient in the face of hurricanes edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

September data started out with a strongly positive Chicago PMI. August data included a decline in new homes sales, and a real decline in personal spending. Real personal income was flat. Nominally both were positive. Durable goods orders were positive. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Sep 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was driven by U.S. data in N.Y. on Friday, initially falling on cooler income and consumption figures, then rallying on a much stronger Chicago PMI outcome. EUR-USD peaked at .1.1832, before falling back to 1.1792 lows, then steadying near 1.1800. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Weak U.S. Inflation Clouds Fed Outlook

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW Mixed bag from the US sees the Dollar claw back lost ground. The Pound has slipped back from recent highs as YoY growth slows to 1.5%. Canadian economy grinds to a halt in July, with 0% growth reported. The Euro is firm despite unchanged CPI for September. HIGHLIGHT The Fed's preferred inflation measure (core PCE index) rose just 0.1% in August, while the annual increase slowed to 1.3%, the smallest increase since November 2015. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Sep 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

There was limited directional impulse for most dollar pairings, with this being the last trading say of both the month- and quarter-end, while the weekend brings the usual risk for another North Korean antic. Cable was the main exception, as it dove following sub-forecast GDP and house price data, along with some negative Brexit related news stories (BoA announcing it is moving 300 staff to Paris from London, and an EU official ruling out that trade negotiations could start as soon as next month). Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Sep 29, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

USD-JPY picked up some demand while most other dollar pairings have traded narrow ranges so far today. USD-JPY recovered from yesterday's 112.25 low to the upper 112s. There had been reports yesterday of yen demand into the end of the first half of the fiscal year in Japan, though USD-JPY still has rallied, returning focus on the two-and-a-half-month high seen on Wednesday at 113.25. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Sep 28, 2017

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mostly lower in N.Y. trade on Thursday, with month and quarter end conditions keeping ranges relatively narrow. Incoming U.S. data had little impact on the FX market, though revised GDP improved, jobless claims were lower than expected, and the advance trade deficit narrowed some. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Dollar Slips Despite Q2 Growth Revision

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW GBP supported by a slightly upbeat tone from the latest round of Brexit talks. BoE Governor, Mark Carney, warns it is unable to cancel out a likely negative economic hit from Brexit. EUR recovers from 1-month lows, ECB members signal Q.E. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Dollar Slips Despite Q2 Growth Revision

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW GBP supported by a slightly upbeat tone from the latest round of Brexit talks. BoE Governor, Mark Carney, warns it is unable to cancel out a likely negative economic hit from Brexit. EUR recovers from 1-month lows, ECB members signal Q.E. Read more

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