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International Economic Week in Review: Let's Hope This Trade War Madness Ends Quickly

By: HaleStewart

Obviously, this week’s most important international trade news was the Trump administration’s imposition of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. It is difficult to overstate the abject stupidity underlying this development. As anyone with any sense and the economic history is aware, this exact same development -the imposition of tariffs -was a primary contributor to the depth of the economic collapse that was the great depression. Read more

US Economic Week in Review: Still Humming Along

By: HaleStewart

This week’s data was mixed. 4Q17 GDP was strong and personal consumption expenditures increased at a solid pace. Weakness in recent housing numbers was most likely weather-related; regions that experienced above average inclement weather saw lower activity. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: It Still Looks Like Three Hikes This Year

By: HaleStewart

            First off, let’s look at prices: Read more

Weekly Indicators: significant deceleration in real M1 edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

February data started out with unchanged vehicle sales, a strongly positive ISM manufacturing index, and a Chicago PMI that declined from white hot to red hot. Consumer sentiment as measured by the U. of Michigan improved. January data included a big decline in new home sales, and unchanged construction spending, but an improvement in residential construction. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Mar 02, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar steadied some on Friday in N.Y., though overall remained near its lows of the week as fallout from tariffs weighed. The DXY bottomed at 89.89, the lowest seen since Tuesday. EUR-USD ranged between 1.2294 and 1.2332, as USD-JPY made its way from 15-month lows of 105.25 to a high of 105.68 before turning slightly lower again. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Mar 02, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar came under pressure as the markets continued digest the Trump move on tariffs and yesterday's walk back of hawkishness by Fed Chairman Powell. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) was showing a 0.4% decline as of the early European PM session, bringing the cumulative loss from yesterday's peak to 1.1%. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Mar 02, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar remained on a back foot following Trump's apparent hitting of the trade way button, although it remains to be seen how targeted his proposed tariffs on steel and aluminium will be. Fed policy expectations remains in the spotlight, too, with hawkish remarks from Fed member Dudley serving to offset the impact from Fed chairman Powell's testimony before the Senate yesterday, where he chose to walk back some of the hawkish notes he struck at his House testimony earlier in the week. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Dollar is Strong on Interest Rate Outlook

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW The Euro is weaker as the central bank policy in the EU diverges with most other major central banks. The Sterling falters ahead of Theresa May's speech on Friday. Eyes are on FED Chair Powel who is testifying again this afternoon. HIGHLIGHT The US Dollar continued its surge stronger across currencies today after yesterday's positive tone from the new FED Chair Mr. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Mar 01, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The DXY lost some ground through the N.Y. session, after opening at better than one-month highs of 90.93. The greenback sold off through the morning as Wall Street rallied, though later bounced following the announcement of the imposition of tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, which saw stocks tumble severely. Read more

A change in economic seasons? (Part 2 of 2)

By: New_Deal_democrat

In part 1 of this post, I mentioned that the relationship between stock dividend yields and bond yields (in particular, the 2 year treasury yield) had reversed recently for the first time in nearly a decade. For 50 years, bond yields were higher than stock dividends. Read more


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