Home > XE Currency Blog > XE Currency Blog - Market Analysis & Forex News


Weekly indicators: a very positive new year edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

December data started out with an improvement in motor vehicle sales and the ISM manufacturing index. ISM services was positive but decelerated from last month. Jobs were positive but also showed deceleration. The unemployment rate held steady. The underemployment rate rose slightly, a negative. November data included positive construction spending in all categories, and positive factory orders. My usual note: I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good Now-cast of the economy, and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. Read more

US Economic Week in Review: The Labor Market is on Solid Footing

By: HaleStewart

Jobs data is one of the most important sets of economic information used by economists. A high rate of hiring is prima facia evidence of a growing economy and increasing demand. Strong jobs growth also supports higher consumer spending, which is responsible for 70% of US economic growth. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: Rate Hikes Are Still On for 2018

By: HaleStewart

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released the latest Meeting Minutes, which were taken during December’s meeting. The Fed believes that financing conditions are supportive and that the economy ended the year on a high-note. However, there are still a large number of conflicting views among the Fed governors regarding inflation, indicating there is no consensus about the cause of still low rates. The Minutes offered the following general assessment of the financial markets: Movements in domestic financial asset prices over the intermeeting period reflected slightly stronger-than-expected economic data releases, announcements related to Treasury debt issuance, and an increase in the perceived probability that the Congress would enact tax legislation. Read more

International Economic Week in Review: 2018 Starts With a Bang

By: HaleStewart

What this week lacked in volume, it made up for in weight. Markit released their monthly PMI numbers for all the advanced economies. If Europe’s numbers continue in this manner for the rest of the year, the continent can expect its best post-Recession growth totals om 2018. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jan 05, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar recovered its post-jobs report initial losses, as the market came to the realization that despite the NFP miss, the internals of the report were fairly good. EUR-USD retraced under 1.2025 from 1.2083 highs, as USD-JPY moved back over 113.20 from 113.02 lows. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Jan 05, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded firmer as the release of the December U.S. jobs loomed large. USD-JPY has rallied for a third consecutive day, hitting a nine-day peak at 113.28, extending the rebound from the thee-week low that was seen earlier in the week at 112.05. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Jan 05, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

.The dollar traded mostly firmer during the pre-London session in Asia. USD-JPY has rallied for a third consecutive day, this time hitting a nine-day peak at 113.11. This extends the rebound from the thee-week low that was seen earlier in the week at 112.05. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Dollar Weakens as Global Optimism Surges

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW Growth in US private payrolls exceeds expectations. Fed minutes show uncertainty about tax cut impact on the economy. UK service sector picks up in December. Eurozone PMIs confirm growth still firming. Global stock markets hit fresh record highs, oil prices reach $68 a barrel. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jan 04, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The FX market was relatively quiet in N.Y. on Thursday, with major dollar pairings maintaining narrow ranges throughout. The DXY remained under the 92.00 mark, though stayed above Tuesday's three-plus month low of 91.75. A strong ADP jobs report provided some support to the greenback, though there was little follow through seen, especially with the BLS jobs report due on Friday. Read more

My K.I.S.S. forecast for the first half of 2018

By: New_Deal_democrat

At the outset of every year I lay out a forecast for each half. My method of forecasting is pretty simple -- in fact so simple, I call it the K.I.S.S. method. Even though the Index of Leading Indicators is the statistic most denigrated by Wall Street forecasters, it has the inconvenient habit of being right more often than the highly-paid punditocracy, especially at turning points. Read more


Paste link in email or IM