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XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jan 11, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar took an early hit on Thursday in N.Y. trade, as ECB minutes said the Bank could change its guidance in early 2018 if the EU economy continues to expand. Incoming U.S. data missed the mark, weighing further on the USD, as jobless claims were higher than expected, and PPI cooler than forecasts. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Euro Spikes as ECB Signals Guidance Shift

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW ECB minutes spark speculation over QE program. Chinese authorities deny reports on US debt purchases. USD back under pressure after PPI falls. AUD rallies after strong retail sales. CAD weaker on NAFTA concerns. Oil surges to highest since 2014 as OPEC say output cuts will continue. HIGHLIGHT The Euro rallied 1% against the Dollar after the release of the minutes from the ECB's meeting last month signaled they may revise their forward guidance. Read more

A relationship to watch in 2018: hiring leads firing

By: New_Deal_democrat

Perhaps the biggest single thread in my overall business cycle analysis in the past year or two is that we have come to the later part of the cycle, but on the other hand there are no signs of any near-term decline. While the net number of jobs created or lost in the economy (a/k/a nonfarm payrolls) is one of the four important markers of the onset of a recession itself, that number can be decomposed into hiring vs. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Jan 11, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar is firmer after China rebutted yesterday's Bloomberg story alleging that it was pondering a reduction on U.S. Treasury purchases. USD-JPY broke a run of three consecutive declines, which printed a seven-week low at 111.27 yesterday, in recouping to the upper 111.0s. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Jan 11, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar is firmer after China rebutted yesterday's Bloomberg story alleging that it was pondering a reduction on U.S. Treasury purchases. USD-JPY broke a run of three consecutive declines, which printed a seven-week low at 111.27 yesterday, in recouping to the upper 111.0s. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Jan 10, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar perked up some in N.Y. trade on Wednesday, after getting smacked lower in the London morning session, after it was speculated that China would pare its Treasury purchases. EUR-USD slipped from opening highs over 1.2005 to base at 1.1940. USD-JPY bottomed at 111.27 early on, then topped at 111.64 before turning sideways. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Choppy Day Across the Board in the Currency Market

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW The US Dollar is choppy after rumors about the Chinese central bank planning to slow/halt buying US Treasuries. Euro strong as Italian opposition says the country should stay in the Euro. Pound ignores strong industrial output, focusing on Brexit. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Jan 10, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has kicked lower on reports about China, which is apparently considering downsizing its purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds. A Bloomberg report citing unnamed sources is the font of the story, and there hasn't as yet been any official confirmation or denial. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Jan 10, 2018

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has traded steady-to-firmer, overall. EUR-USD has remained heavy, meeting good selling interest above 1.1950, though so far remaining above yesterday's 12-day low at 1.1915. Cable and AUD-USD have been seeing similar price actions, aided by the spike in U.S. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Yen Rises as BoJ Scales Back Bond Buys

By: xemarketanalysis

OVERVIEW US Dollar recovers some ground, supported by higher US bond yields. German industrial production surges, trade data highlights rising global demand. Australian building approvals bounce back. Oil prices hold around 2.5-year highs. HIGHLIGHT The Japanese Yen is higher against a stronger US Dollar after the Bank of Japan reduced its purchases of long-dated government bonds, stoking speculation that the central bank could start to wind down its huge stimulus policy this year. Read more

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