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High Unemployment Is A Global Problem

By: HaleStewart

As a US based writer, I’m very familiar with the current economic and political debate about the weak US employment situation. However, a report issued yesterday by the World Bank, International Labor Organization and OECD indicates this is actually a G20 problem, not one isolated to one country. The report contains several very revealing graphs: The above graph shows a pre (dashed line) and post-recession (solid line) trajectory for G20 employment. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Sep 11, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded mostly firmer, though was down against sterling, which extended gains seen in the wake of a poll putting the Scottish No for independence back in the lead, and was near net unchanged against the euro. The greenback, meanwhile, logged fresh six-year highs above 107.00 against a generally underperforming yen, and also advanced against the dollar bloc units, even against the Aussie dollar, after record employment gain in August data out of Australia. Read more

The stock/bond divergence dwarfs the bond conundrumette

By: New_Deal_democrat

There has been a flurry of writing in the econoblogosphere during the last week or so about the new "bond conundrum." Here's a piece by Prof. James Hamilton, and here's a very good compilation of recent posts by Lambert Strether. The original "bond conundrum" was a term coined by Alan Greenspan, who was surprised that as he raised short term rates in 2005 and 2006, long rates fell. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Sep 11, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

USD-JPY clocked a fresh six-year peak 107.03, and EUR-JPY and AUD-JPY were also perky to as the yen underperformed. EUR-USD and Cable, meanwhile, were relatively steady, settling after recent volatility, with the latter consolidating the gains after a poll showed the No vote to Scottish independence back in the lead, matching a poll-of-polls headline that painted the same picture. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Sep 10, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mixed in N.Y. trade on Wednesday, rallying marginally versus the euro and yen, while picking up ground versus the CHF on the back of SNB saber-rattling. USD-CAD fell back from the 1.10 region on profit taking, as cable shot higher following a poll showing the "no" camp in the Scottish independence movement gaining ground. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Sep 10, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The USD saw fresh highs against the GBP, JPY and the AUD, but was slightly lower against the EUR, which managed a modest rebound after recent heavy losses. Sterling took another tumble on Scottish independence concerns, while the yen was another underperformer, with USD-JPY and EUR-JPY both making fresh highs. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Sep 10, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The yen saw fresh lows against the dollar and euro, though rose against an underperforming Australian dollar, which extended losses seen over the last two days. USD-JPY logged a fresh six-year peak of 106.55, taking out option barriers at 106.50, and EUR-JPY a six-day high of 137.71. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Sep 09, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was mixed in N.Y. on Tuesday, after making trend highs versus most major currencies overnight. USD-JPY traded to a fresh six-year peak over 106.40, as EUR-USD was squeezed higher after failing to add to London losses. That pairing recovered toward 1.2925 from overnight lows of 1.2859, though the rally ran out of steam into the close. Read more

Rallying Treasury Market Says Fed Will Raise Rates Later Rather Than Sooner

By: HaleStewart

The chart above shows the 2, 5, 10 and 30 year yields for the CMTs – constantly maturing treasuries. Since the first of the year, both the 10 and the 30 year have rallied. 30 year yields have decreased by about 75 basis points and the 10 year yields have decreased about 60 basis points. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Sep 09, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar extended to fresh highs across-the-board. USD-JPY rallied above its previous day's high for the eighth consecutive day, making a six-year peak of 106.39. EUR-USD clocked a new 14-month low of 1.2859, subsequently lifting toward 1.2900. Cable carved out a new 10-month low of 1.6064 in Asia before finding a footing back above 1.6100, aided by strong U.K. Read more

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