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By HaleStewart September 30, 2015 8:06 am
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Corporate Yields Are Widening

The above chart from the FRED system shows corporate spreads have widened.  The Aaa (red line, left scale) rose from 1.6% to 1.9% since the first of the year while the Baa spread (blue line, right scare) increased from 2.2% to 3.2%, but over a longer time period (approximately mid-2014 to now).

The CCC chart is more concerning:

In March, the CCCs yielded ~10%; the number is currently just under 14%, an increase of a little under 300 basis points.

Why is this happening?

1.) Some of the increase is due to the oil patch, as once high-flying companies are seeing their credit rating drop with oil prices.

2.) Some of this will be due to industrial companies selling large durable goods to the energy and materials sector.

3.) There is also concern about corporate credit generally, especially in an era of potential Fed hikes.

 

 

 

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