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International Economic Week in Review: No Central Theme, Edition

By: HaleStewart

Once again, negative Chinese news started the week, with Markit reporting a 48.2 PMI. Production dropped; orders and prices were weak. The service sector expanded, with the PMI rising from 50.2 to 52.4. The composite index was a barely positive 50.1. Read more

US Equity and Economic Review: This Is Not A Market That Wants to Move Higher, Edition

By: HaleStewart

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released its monthly manufacturing and non-manufacturing report this week. Although manufacturing increased .2% to 48.2, this was the fourth consecutive month of contraction. But new orders and production were both above 50, indicating we could see slightly higher numbers next month. Read more

US Bond Market Week in Review: The Bond Market Sees Weak Growth, Edition

By: HaleStewart

    This week’s column will focus exclusively on various yields and segments of the treasury market for one reason: the bond market does not think the economy will grow meaningfully in the foreseeable future. Read more

Weekly Indicators: the US$ slides towards parity against major currencies edition

By: New_Deal_democrat

January 2016 reports started out with a continuation of job gains, including big positive moves in hours, hourly wages, and participation. Vehicle sales were positive, although still below their late 2015 peak. ISM manufacturing was less negative (but new orders turned positive), and ISM services were less positive. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Feb 05, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar stumbled initially after the employment report, which missed on the headline NFP print, though overall were quite solid overall. USD losses were short lived however, as it appeared some end of week profit taking set in following the dollar's worst week since 2009. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Feb 05, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar largely consolidated recent moves in overnight trade, as the market anticipates this morning's January U.S. employment report. We look for a 200k rise in non-farm payrolls, and a dip in the unemployment rate to a cycle low of 4.9%. Such a result would be welcome in the current backdrop of otherwise soft incoming data. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Feb 05, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has consolidated losses during a relatively subdued session in Asia, with markets having wound down into today's U.S. payrolls release, which will be a big focus amid signs of moderating economic momentum and consequent re-pricing of Fed policy expectations. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Feb 04, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

Another rough day for the dollar on Thursday, resulting in major currencies moving to trend highs across the board. More disappointing U.S. data, this time in the form of weak Q4 productivity and December factory orders weighed on the USD, as did softer Treasury yields, and volatile equities. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Feb 04, 2016

By: XE Market Analysis

The dual themes of dollar weakness and euro strength persisted, propelling EUR-USD to a 15-week peak at 1.1169. The pairing has been a central conduit of dollar selling since yesterday, as this pair had been a prime short vehicle during past phases of euro underperformance. Read more


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