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XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 18, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar was fairly steady, albeit at better levels through the N.Y. session on Thursday. Another sharp Wall Street rally buoyed the dollar and yields, as equity traders picked up where they left off post-FOMC on Wednesday. EUR-USD made it to within 20 points or so of is December trend low, basing at 1.2267. Read more

The important story told by real retail sales

By: New_Deal_democrat

Real retail sales is one of my favorite economic metrics.  Depending on how it is measured, it has value as a long leading indicator, a short leading indicator for jobs, a coincident indicator, and a mid-cycle indicator.  Let's look at each in turn. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 18, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The main dollar pairings mostly consolidated the gains seen after the FOMC announcement yesterday. EUR-CHF grabbed headlines as it spiked to a peak at 1.2096 from the 1.2010 area in early European AM trade after the SNB implemented a negative interest rate of -0.25% on sight deposits. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 18, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar has traded higher in the wake of the FOMC announcement and press conference, even though the Fed obscured its already convoluted statement by replacing the phrase "considerable time" with "patience" with regard the expected duration of easy policy. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Asia - Dec 17, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar generally moved higher through the morning session, as yields perked up slightly, stocks and the ruble rallied, as oil prices rose sharply. CPI was a touch cooler than forecast, while the Q3 current account deficit widened some, though had little impact ahead of the FOMC. Read more

Americans gaining confidence in the economy

By: New_Deal_democrat

While many commentators pooh-pooh consumer sentiment surveys, the fact is that the "future expectations" of those surveys have been shown to lead economic performance, and they are included as one of the 10 components of the Index of Leading Indicators. Read more

2014: The Year Of the Flattening US Yield Curve

By: HaleStewart

The chart above shows the US 30 year constantly maturing treasury (or CMT, left scale) and the 2 CMT (right scale). Since the beginning of 2014, the 30 year yield has moved lower, dropping over 100 basis points. In contrast, the 2 year CMT has risen about 30 basis points. Read more

XE Market Analysis: North America - Dec 17, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The dollar traded firmer today, with AUD-USD making new four-year lows under 0.8150 and EUR-USD ebbing back to the 1.2450 area, putting over 100 pips between spot and yesterday's peak at 1.2569. USD-JPY made a peak of 117.50 before settling around 117.20-30. Read more

XE Market Analysis: Europe - Dec 17, 2014

By: XE Market Analysis

The Aussie dove to new trend lows with AUD-USD diving below 0.8200 and logging a four-year low at 0.8145. There didn't appear to be a catalyst, and stock markets and commodity prices were generally steadier in Asia-Pacific, though there remain concerns about the growth outlook in Asia and globally. Read more

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